CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2016-01-15T00:00:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2016-01-15T00:00ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/10053/-1
CME Note: This CME is associated with a filament eruption to the SW starting around 21:45Z. CME is a partial halo, very faint.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2016-01-18T21:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2016-01-19T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 30.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:
Met Office ENLIL settings. ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform) Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1 WSA version: 2.2 Please specify following CME input parameters. Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2016-01-15T1734Z Radial velocity (km/s): 200 Longitude (deg): 24 Latitude (deg): -10 Half-angular width (deg): 51 Notes: Used STEREO A and SOHO C3. Faint halo visible. Space weather advisor: Mark SeltzerLead Time: 50.42 hour(s)
Difference: -15.00 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2016-01-16T18:35Z
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